Broadcom · Q2 FY2026 · June 3, 2026
Broadcom (AVGO) Q2 FY2026 Earnings Call: AI Bookings, 2028 Demand Visibility and Margin Mix
A structured quarterly research file based on the earnings release and cited primary documents. Consensus, transcript, Q&A, and price-reaction fields are shown only when verified data are available.
+143% year over year
Far ahead of shipments
Multi-year commitments
Of Q2 AI revenue
Maintained
Maintained
Improving
AI supply preparation
Up from about 68
More than +200% YoY
Investment read
Broadcom's Q2 call confirmed that AI demand is running far ahead of current shipments, supported by more than $30B of AI semiconductor bookings.
Investors should watch whether AI revenue ramps toward the Q3 target of $16.0B while gross-margin compression remains mix-driven rather than structural.
Call-specific evidence
What changed on the call
- AI semiconductor bookings exceeded $30B versus $10.8B of Q2 AI revenue.
- Demand visibility now extends through 2028.
- Networking represented nearly 40% of Q2 AI revenue.
- FY2026 and FY2027 AI revenue targets remain $56B and above $100B.
- Q3 consolidated gross margin is expected to decline as semiconductor mix rises.
- Infrastructure software ARR increased 17%.
- Inventory increased to prepare for accelerating AI demand.
Management commentary
What management said
Management tone
| Dimension | Assessment | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| AI demand | Very confident | Bookings above $30B. |
| Long-term visibility | Strong | Visibility through 2028. |
| AI networking | Strong | Nearly 40% of AI revenue. |
| Gross margin | Cautious | Q3 mix expected to lower consolidated margin. |
| Software | Constructive | ARR +17%; Q3 acceleration expected. |
| Inventory | Proactive | 86 inventory days for AI ramp. |
Investor questions
Key analyst questions
Why are bookings much larger than shipments?
DirectWhy it mattersWhy bookings exceeded $30B while Q2 AI revenue was $10.8B.
Management responseCustomers plan chips, memory, power and data-center capacity far in advance; bookings are not for immediate shipment.
SnowballHare readBookings improve visibility but must not be treated as near-term recognized revenue.
Open sourceIs the gross-margin decline structural?
DirectWhy it mattersWhether lower consolidated margin means weaker AI economics.
Management responseManagement attributed the decline mainly to a higher semiconductor mix and XPU/networking mix, not structural semiconductor deterioration.
SnowballHare readTrack semiconductor and software margins independently.
Open sourceCan custom-chip customers diversify suppliers?
DirectManagement responseManagement acknowledged multiple suppliers may be used while emphasizing long-term dollar commitments.
SnowballHare readCommitments support visibility but do not eliminate share-loss risk.
Open sourceWhy was the FY2027 target not increased?
Partially answeredManagement responseManagement said execution is at least on track but it will not reset the long-term target every quarter.
SnowballHare readThe unchanged target may show discipline, but limits visible incremental upside.
Open sourceHow important is AI networking?
DirectManagement responseNetworking represented nearly 40% of Q2 AI semiconductor revenue.
SnowballHare readNetworking is already a material second AI revenue stream.
Open sourceDemand conversion
AI bookings and visibility
| Metric | Current evidence |
|---|---|
| AI bookings | >$30B |
| Q2 AI revenue | $10.8B |
| Bookings / quarterly revenue | >2.7x |
| Visibility | Through 2028 |
| FY2027 target | >$100B |
Bookings are not equivalent to recognized revenue.
SnowballHare: Conversion depends on supply, memory, power and customer deployment readiness.
Product mix
Custom accelerators and networking
| Metric | Current evidence |
|---|---|
| Custom accelerators | Major AI growth driver |
| Networking share | Nearly 40% of Q2 AI revenue |
| Customer commitments | Multi-year |
| Supplier diversification | Possible |
SnowballHare: Product breadth helps, but customer-owned architecture choices remain a risk.
Profitability
Gross margin and product mix
| Metric | Current evidence |
|---|---|
| Q2 consolidated gross margin | 77.1% |
| Q3 gross-margin guidance | ~74% |
| Q2 operating margin | 67.3% |
| Q3 operating-margin guidance | ~67% |
SnowballHare: Operating-margin stability is the cleaner near-term execution test.
Software stabilizer
VMware and infrastructure software
| Metric | Current evidence |
|---|---|
| Q2 software revenue | ~$7.2B · +9% |
| ARR growth | +17% |
| Q3 revenue guidance | ~$8.9B · +31% |
SnowballHare: Software provides recurring revenue and margin support as AI semiconductors grow faster.
Supply preparation
Inventory and supply
| Metric | Current evidence |
|---|---|
| Inventory | ~$4.3B |
| Inventory days | 86 |
| Previous inventory days | ~68 |
| Main reason | AI demand preparation |
SnowballHare: Track inventory days against actual shipment and revenue conversion.
Forward outlook
Guidance dashboard
| Metric | Guidance | Prior-year base | Status | Investor interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | ~$29.4B | Q3 FY2026 | Guided | ~84% year-over-year growth. |
| Semiconductor revenue | ~$20.5B | Q3 FY2026 | Guided | ~124% year-over-year growth. |
| AI semiconductor revenue | ~$16.0B | Q3 FY2026 | Guided | More than 200% growth. |
| Infrastructure software revenue | ~$8.9B | Q3 FY2026 | Guided | ~31% growth. |
| Consolidated gross margin | ~74% | Q3 FY2026 | Mix-pressured | Higher semiconductor mix. |
| Non-GAAP operating margin | ~67% | Q3 FY2026 | Stable | Better execution measure than gross margin alone. |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin | ~68% | Q3 FY2026 | Strong | Operating leverage remains strong. |
Quarterly change
What changed this quarter
Improved
- AI revenue increased 143%.
- AI bookings exceeded $30B.
- Visibility extended through 2028.
- Networking reached nearly 40% of AI revenue.
- Software ARR increased 17%.
- Q3 AI revenue guidance reached $16B.
Deteriorated
- Q3 consolidated gross margin is expected to decline.
- Inventory days increased from about 68 to 86.
Unresolved
- Bookings conversion timing.
- Customer concentration.
- Whether FY2027 materially exceeds $100B.
- Whether margin pressure remains mix-driven.
- Customer power and data-center deployment constraints.
Investment thesis
Thesis tracker
| Investment question | Current evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Is AI demand accelerating? | Bookings >$30B; revenue +143%. | Confirmed |
| Is visibility improving? | Visibility through 2028. | Confirmed |
| Is networking a second AI engine? | Nearly 40% of AI revenue. | Confirmed |
| Can software support margins? | ARR +17%; Q3 growth expected. | Improving |
| Is margin pressure structural? | Management says mix-driven. | Watch |
| Can inventory convert into revenue? | Inventory days rose to 86. | Unproven |
| Is customer concentration manageable? | Commitments are strong; diversification risk remains. | Watch |
Next quarter
What to watch next
| Indicator | Current baseline | Next check | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI semiconductor revenue | $10.8B · +143% | Q3 target of ~$16.0B | Primary source |
| Total revenue | $22.187B | Q3 guidance of ~$29.4B | Primary source |
| Semiconductor revenue | ~$15.0B · +79% | Q3 target of ~$20.5B | Primary source |
| Infrastructure software | ~$7.2B · +9% | Q3 target of ~$8.9B | Primary source |
| AI bookings | >$30B | Conversion into shipments | Primary source |
| Demand visibility | Through 2028 | New customer commitments | Primary source |
| Consolidated gross margin | 77.1% | Q3 outlook near 74% | Primary source |
| Operating margin | 67.3% | Q3 target near 67% | Primary source |
| Inventory | $4.3B / 86 days | Conversion into AI revenue | Primary source |
| Free cash flow | $10.3B | Cash conversion during the AI ramp | Primary source |
| FY2026 AI target | $56B | Execution against the annual target | Primary source |
| FY2027 AI target | >$100B | Evidence of upside beyond target | Primary source |
Primary documents
Sources and documents
FAQ
Reader questions
How large were Broadcom's Q2 FY2026 AI semiconductor bookings?
Broadcom said bookings exceeded $30B.
How far does Broadcom's AI demand visibility extend?
Management said visibility extends through 2028.
What is Broadcom's FY2026 AI revenue target?
The target remains $56B.
What is Broadcom's FY2027 AI revenue target?
Management expects more than $100B.
Why does Broadcom expect gross margin to decline?
A higher semiconductor mix relative to higher-margin software lowers consolidated gross margin.
How much of Broadcom's AI revenue came from networking?
Networking represented nearly 40% of Q2 AI semiconductor revenue.
What did Broadcom say about VMware growth?
Software revenue grew 9%, ARR grew 17%, and Q3 growth is expected to accelerate.
What is Broadcom's Q3 AI revenue guidance?
Broadcom expects approximately $16B.
What should AVGO investors watch next?
Watch AI revenue, bookings conversion, demand visibility, margin mix, software growth, inventory, free cash flow and customer concentration.
AI demand and bookings
Very strongManagement viewAI semiconductor bookings exceeded $30B versus $10.8B of Q2 AI semiconductor revenue.
Supporting evidenceBookings >$30B; AI revenue $10.8B; growth +143%.
SnowballHare readBookings support multi-quarter visibility but are not immediate revenue and increase execution dependencies.
Open primary sourceCustom accelerators and AI networking
StrongManagement viewCustom accelerators and networking both drove growth; networking represented nearly 40% of Q2 AI revenue.
Supporting evidenceNetworking is already a material second AI engine.
SnowballHare readProduct breadth helps, but customer concentration remains material.
Open primary sourceLong-term AI visibility
Strong visibilityManagement viewOrder visibility extends through 2028 and the FY2027 AI revenue target remains above $100B.
Supporting evidenceFY2026 target $56B; FY2027 target >$100B.
SnowballHare readRevenue timing still depends on customer infrastructure, power, memory and deployments.
Open primary sourceGross margin and product mix
MixedManagement viewConsolidated gross margin should decline as semiconductor revenue becomes a larger share, while semiconductor economics remain stable.
Supporting evidenceQ3 gross margin ~74%; non-GAAP operating margin ~67%.
SnowballHare readModel semiconductor and software margins separately; mix compression is not automatically structural deterioration.
Open primary sourceVMware and infrastructure software
ImprovingManagement viewInfrastructure software revenue grew and management expects acceleration in Q3.
Supporting evidenceQ2 revenue ~$7.2B; growth +9%; ARR +17%; Q3 guide ~$8.9B.
SnowballHare readVMware remains the high-margin stabilizer as AI semiconductors grow faster.
Open primary sourceInventory and supply preparation
Proactive / execution riskManagement viewInventory increased as Broadcom prepared for accelerating AI demand.
Supporting evidenceInventory ~$4.3B; inventory days rose from about 68 to 86.
SnowballHare readHigher inventory is consistent with the plan but becomes risky if deployments slip.
Open primary sourceNon-AI semiconductors
ImprovingManagement viewNon-AI semiconductor demand showed signs of recovery.
Supporting evidenceRevenue ~$4.2B, +6%; bookings above $6B.
SnowballHare readThe recovery broadens growth, though AI remains dominant.
Open primary sourceCustomer concentration
Commitments strong / risk remainsManagement viewMulti-year commitments support the roadmap, while major customers may use multiple suppliers.
Supporting evidenceLarge customers remain important to custom-accelerator revenue.
SnowballHare readAgreements improve visibility but do not remove concentration or share-loss risk.
Open primary source