US · Consumer Discretionary

CCL stock analysis: filings, institutional holders, and operating trends

Carnival Corporation operates in the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines industry within the Consumer Discretionary sector and is a constituent of the S&P 500. This page connects filing evidence with ownership, insider activity, forecasts, ETFs, and peer context so each dataset can be checked against the others.

Deterministic, source-linked commentary

CCL signals across filings and ownership

The newest reported numbers give CCL a clearer starting point. 10-Q covers CY2026Q1. quarterly revenue was $6.2B; year-over-year growth was 6.1%; operating margin was 9.8%; trailing free cash flow was $963.0M. Read together, these figures test whether scale is translating into profit and cash. Verify periods and company footnotes in the original SEC EDGAR filing.

CCL's published outlook is useful only while its inputs hold. The forecast scenarios were updated 2026-06-26. Revenue growth, margins, cash generation, and risk assumptions must be checked against each new filing. Compare them with the latest earnings analysis.

Business model

Company snapshot

Carnival Corporation operates in the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines industry within the Consumer Discretionary sector and is a constituent of the S&P 500. The latest standardized snapshot records $26.46B of trailing revenue, $2.6B of net income, and $963M of free cash flow. These figures describe the reported company, while valuation and price require a separate market-data timestamp.

Operating lines

in the Hotels

A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.

Resorts & Cruise Lines industry within the Consumer Discretionary sector

A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.

is a constituent of the S&P 500

A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.

Geographic revenue mix

The current standardized filing dataset does not extract a comparable geographic revenue table for every issuer. Review the latest 10-K segment note for domestic and international mix, concentration, foreign-exchange sensitivity, and country-specific regulation.

10-Q · 2026-03-27

What the latest filing shows

Form: 10-Q Period: CY2026Q1 Filed: 2026-03-27 CIK: 0000815097

Revenue for the latest standardized quarter was $6.17B, while diluted EPS was 0.19. Revenue changed 6.1% from the comparable period. Gross margin was 28.9% and operating margin was 9.8%. Margin direction matters because it shows whether growth is translating into operating leverage or requiring more cost to support.

Open original SEC filing

Earnings & filings

CCL earnings calls, releases, and filing evidence

Earnings calls

No authorized call transcript summary is available yet for this ticker.

Filings & announcements

Earnings history

DatePeriodStatusRevenueEPSSource
2026-06-24Q2 2026Reported$6.7B$0.41Carnival Q2 2026 results
2026-03-27CY2026Q1Standardized data$6.17B0.19SEC

CY2026Q1

Earnings analysis

PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPSOperating margin
CY2026Q1$6.17B$258M0.199.8%
TTM$26.46B$2.6B1.8816.5%
CY2025$26.62B$2.76BSee filing16.8%

Carnival's Q2 2026 report should be read as a stock-outlook reset, not just a beat-or-miss event. The key facts are $6.7B record revenue, customer deposits reached $9.0B, a key signal for future cruise demand and pricing, $537M net income, $569M adjusted net income, $0.39 diluted EPS, $0.41 adjusted EPS, and $1.6B adjusted EBITDA, and full-year outlook calls for net yields up about 3.2% and constant-currency net yields up about 1.75%. Bottom line: the report improves the setup only if those numbers support whether cruise demand and pricing can stay strong enough to absorb fuel, currency, and geopolitical disruption.

Read detailed earnings analysis

Scenario analysis

Forecast range

After Carnival's latest earnings report, a practical 2026 scenario map for CCL is $21.3-25.6 in a bear case, $26.2-32.7 in a base case, and $33.6-41.3 in a bull case. The forecast is anchored to a post-earnings price of $28.46, market value near $40.6B, and the latest reported guidance.

Forecast assumptions

  • Revenue growth must be checked against the latest filing and management guidance.
  • Current reported operating margin is 16.5%.
  • TTM free-cash-flow margin is 3.6%.
  • Discount rates and valuation multiples should move when risk-free rates, business risk, or estimate confidence changes.

This is not a buy or sell recommendation. Forecasts are conditional ranges whose assumptions can fail.

Open forecast methodology and scenarios

Consumer Discretionary

Peer comparison

CompanyTTM revenueRevenue growthOperating marginTracked holders
CCLCarnival Corporation$26.46B6.1%16.5%0
MCDMcDonald's$26.39B9.4%46.2%0
MARMarriott International$26.15B6.2%16.9%0
GPCGenuine Parts Company$24.56B6.8%5.2%0
TJXTJX Companies$29.9B-0%15.3%0
DHID. R. Horton$31.4B-2.3%N/A0
LENLennar$31.44B-13.3%17.1%1

CCL's 6.1% revenue growth and 16.5% operating margin should be read against peers using the same reporting definitions. A higher margin may reflect pricing power or business mix, while a lower margin can reflect investment, cyclicality, or weaker economics.

10-K · 2026-01-27

Key risk factors disclosed in the latest 10-K

The categories below are a deterministic research checklist anchored to Carnival Corporation's industry and latest annual filing. They summarize areas investors should locate in Item 1A; they do not replace the company's exact legal disclosure.

  • Demand and product-cycle risk: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines can experience changing customer demand, replacement cycles, and competitive product launches that affect revenue timing.
  • Competition and execution: Market share depends on product quality, pricing, distribution, innovation, and management's ability to convert investment into durable customer demand.
  • Supply chain and counterparties: Supplier concentration, logistics disruption, component availability, and customer concentration can affect delivery schedules, costs, and working capital.
  • Regulation and litigation: Antitrust, privacy, securities, labor, tax, environmental, and industry-specific rules may change costs or restrict products and business practices.
  • Financial and market risk: Foreign exchange, interest rates, credit conditions, investment values, and capital-allocation decisions can affect reported earnings and valuation.
Review the original 10-K risk disclosures

Shareholder returns

Dividend and buyback history

Dividend

Carnival Corporation reported $552M of dividends paid over the trailing period and $208M in the latest standardized quarter. These are company cash outflows, not a per-share forward yield.

Share buybacks

The standardized snapshot does not currently expose a reliable repurchase authorization and share-count bridge for every issuer. Compare diluted shares outstanding across filings and read the capital-return note before concluding that buybacks reduced the share base.

Research workflow

Common research questions about CCL

Who is the largest tracked institutional holder of CCL?

The current tracked-manager sample does not identify an active CCL holder. The CCL ownership page will reflect a matching position when one enters the filing dataset.

What does recent insider activity show for CCL?

No recent Form 4 transaction appears in the current CCL window. Check the CCL Form 4 history for later company-officer or director filings.

What business does Carnival Corporation operate?

Carnival Corporation operates in the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines industry within the Consumer Discretionary sector and is a constituent of the S&P 500. The CCL company snapshot connects that business description with reported revenue, profit, and cash flow.

How does CCL compare with a close operating peer?

CCL's revenue growth is 6.1% and its operating margin is 16.5%. Compare those figures with MCD research using the same definitions.

What do the latest financials say about CCL?

10-Q reports $26.5B of trailing revenue, with revenue growth of 6.1% and an operating margin of 16.5%. The supporting period and source are listed in the CCL filing section.

How strong is CCL's cash return profile?

Carnival Corporation reported $552.0M of trailing dividends paid alongside $963.0M of free cash flow. The CCL capital-return section separates company cash outflows from a forward per-share yield.

Which assumptions matter most for the CCL outlook?

The CCL range depends on revenue growth, operating margin, cash conversion, and the risk assumptions in each new filing. Recheck them in the CCL forecast section.

Primary and reference data

Sources and methodology

  • Filings: SEC EDGAR CompanyFacts, 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, Form 4, 13F-HR.
  • Fundamentals: SEC EDGAR CompanyFacts; market references may use yfinance and Finnhub where explicitly available.
  • ETF: Issuer disclosures and the locally dated ETF holdings snapshot.

Methodology: How SnowballHare parses and validates data.
Editorial standards: How research is published.
Disclaimer: Informational only; not investment, legal, or tax advice. Cross-check material facts against original filings before acting.

Reference notes

Data notes

Reporting dates

Use filing dates, report periods, and source links together for CCL. A company filing, a 13F disclosure, a Form 4 transaction, and an earnings release can describe different time windows, so the date beside each row matters before comparing signals.

Ownership context

13F rows are delayed public long-equity snapshots from a selected manager universe. They are useful for seeing which tracked institutions reported exposure, but they do not show every hedge, short position, cash balance, or trade made after the quarter ended.

Insider transactions

Form 4 activity should be read by transaction type, role, value, and remaining ownership. Open-market purchases and sales are different from grants, option exercises, gifts, or tax withholding, and the original SEC filing is still the controlling document.

Earnings and forecasts

Earnings pages and forecast pages are linked when a supported article exists. Treat those pages as context for reported numbers, guidance, margins, and scenario assumptions, then return to the table data when you need the underlying source date or filing trail.