NASDAQ · Technology
ADBE stock analysis: filings, institutional holders, and operating trends
Adobe sells creative, document, marketing, and digital experience software, with AI monetization tied to Creative Cloud, Firefly, and enterprise workflows. This page connects filing evidence with ownership, insider activity, forecasts, ETFs, and peer context so each dataset can be checked against the others.
Deterministic, source-linked commentary
The current research read on ADBE
The newest reported numbers give ADBE a clearer starting point. 10-Q covers CY2026Q1. quarterly revenue was $6.4B; year-over-year growth was 12.0%; operating margin was 37.8%; trailing free cash flow was $9.0B. Read together, these figures test whether scale is translating into profit and cash. Verify periods and company footnotes in the original SEC EDGAR filing.
The forecast article turns current evidence into conditional scenarios. The forecast scenarios were updated 2026-05-21. Revenue growth, margins, cash generation, and risk assumptions must be checked against each new filing.
No single dataset settles the ADBE research case. Use institutional ownership, insider filings, forecast scenarios alongside the filing. Company facts can update before 13F positions, so align every source date and report period before treating a difference as a change in fundamentals.
Business model
Company snapshot
Adobe sells creative, document, marketing, and digital experience software, with AI monetization tied to Creative Cloud, Firefly, and enterprise workflows. The latest standardized snapshot records $23.97B of trailing revenue, $7.16B of net income, and $8.97B of free cash flow. These figures describe the reported company, while valuation and price require a separate market-data timestamp.
Operating lines
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
Geographic revenue mix
The current standardized filing dataset does not extract a comparable geographic revenue table for every issuer. Review the latest 10-K segment note for domestic and international mix, concentration, foreign-exchange sensitivity, and country-specific regulation.
10-Q · 2026-03-25
What the latest filing shows
Revenue for the latest standardized quarter was $6.4B, while diluted EPS was 4.6. Revenue changed 12% from the comparable period. Gross margin was 89.6% and operating margin was 37.8%. Margin direction matters because it shows whether growth is translating into operating leverage or requiring more cost to support.
Open original SEC filingCY2026Q1
Earnings analysis
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS | Operating margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CY2026Q1 | $6.4B | $1.89B | 4.6 | 37.8% |
| TTM | $23.97B | $7.16B | 16.86 | 37% |
| CY2025 | $23.77B | $7.13B | See filing | 36.6% |
The standardized data shows revenue growth of 12%, an operating margin of 37%, and a net margin of 29.9%. Without a dedicated earnings article, the original filing remains the primary source for management guidance and expectation comparisons.
Scenario analysis
Forecast range
ADBE is a NASDAQ-100 stock with a checked price of 253.37, market cap of 102.41B, and revenue of 24.45B. A practical 2026 scenario map is $190-228 in a bear case, $233-291 in a base case, and $299-367 in a bull case. The forecast depends on software, cloud, cybersecurity, and AI monetization.
Forecast assumptions
- Revenue growth must be checked against the latest filing and management guidance.
- Current reported operating margin is 37%.
- TTM free-cash-flow margin is 37.4%.
- Discount rates and valuation multiples should move when risk-free rates, business risk, or estimate confidence changes.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation. Forecasts are conditional ranges whose assumptions can fail.
Open forecast methodology and scenariosTechnology
Peer comparison
| Company | TTM revenue | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Tracked holders |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBEAdobe Inc. | $23.97B | 12% | 37% | 0 |
| AMDAdvanced Micro Devices | $34.62B | 37.8% | 9.9% | 4 |
| CRMSalesforce | $41.46B | 13.3% | 21.2% | 0 |
| NVDANvidia | $10.92B | 40.8% | 1,278.8% | 7 |
| INTCIntel | $52.76B | 7.2% | -11.2% | 0 |
| MUMicron Technology | $54.86B | 196.3% | 47.8% | 0 |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | $9.61B | 14.9% | 12.1% | 0 |
ADBE's 12% revenue growth and 37% operating margin should be read against peers using the same reporting definitions. A higher margin may reflect pricing power or business mix, while a lower margin can reflect investment, cyclicality, or weaker economics.
10-K · 2026-01-15
Key risk factors disclosed in the latest 10-K
The categories below are a deterministic research checklist anchored to Adobe Inc.'s industry and latest annual filing. They summarize areas investors should locate in Item 1A; they do not replace the company's exact legal disclosure.
- Demand and product-cycle risk: Creative and document software can experience changing customer demand, replacement cycles, and competitive product launches that affect revenue timing.
- Competition and execution: Market share depends on product quality, pricing, distribution, innovation, and management's ability to convert investment into durable customer demand.
- Supply chain and counterparties: Supplier concentration, logistics disruption, component availability, and customer concentration can affect delivery schedules, costs, and working capital.
- Regulation and litigation: Antitrust, privacy, securities, labor, tax, environmental, and industry-specific rules may change costs or restrict products and business practices.
- Financial and market risk: Foreign exchange, interest rates, credit conditions, investment values, and capital-allocation decisions can affect reported earnings and valuation.
Research workflow
Common research questions about ADBE
Who is the largest tracked institutional holder of ADBE?
The current tracked-manager sample does not identify an active ADBE holder. The ADBE ownership page will reflect a matching position when one enters the filing dataset.
What does recent insider activity show for ADBE?
No recent Form 4 transaction appears in the current ADBE window. Check the ADBE Form 4 history for later company-officer or director filings.
What business does Adobe Inc. operate?
Adobe sells creative, document, marketing, and digital experience software, with AI monetization tied to Creative Cloud, Firefly, and enterprise workflows. The ADBE company snapshot connects that business description with reported revenue, profit, and cash flow.
How does ADBE compare with a close operating peer?
ADBE's revenue growth is 12.0% and its operating margin is 37.0%. Compare those figures with AMD research using the same definitions.
What do the latest financials say about ADBE?
10-Q reports $24.0B of trailing revenue, with revenue growth of 12.0% and an operating margin of 37.0%. The supporting period and source are listed in the ADBE filing section.
How strong is ADBE's cash return profile?
Adobe Inc. does not show a positive trailing dividend cash outflow in the standardized snapshot, while free cash flow is $9.0B. Review the ADBE filing evidence before assessing capital-allocation capacity.
Which assumptions matter most for the ADBE outlook?
The ADBE range depends on revenue growth, operating margin, cash conversion, and the risk assumptions in each new filing. Recheck them in the ADBE forecast section.
Primary and reference data
Sources and methodology
- Filings: SEC EDGAR CompanyFacts, 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, Form 4, 13F-HR.
- Fundamentals: SEC EDGAR CompanyFacts; market references may use yfinance and Finnhub where explicitly available.
- ETF: Issuer disclosures and the locally dated ETF holdings snapshot.
Methodology: How SnowballHare parses and validates data.
Editorial standards: How research is published.
Disclaimer: Informational only; not investment, legal, or tax advice. Cross-check material facts against original filings before acting.
Reference notes
Data notes
Reporting dates
Use filing dates, report periods, and source links together for ADBE. A company filing, a 13F disclosure, a Form 4 transaction, and an earnings release can describe different time windows, so the date beside each row matters before comparing signals.
Ownership context
13F rows are delayed public long-equity snapshots from a selected manager universe. They are useful for seeing which tracked institutions reported exposure, but they do not show every hedge, short position, cash balance, or trade made after the quarter ended.
Insider transactions
Form 4 activity should be read by transaction type, role, value, and remaining ownership. Open-market purchases and sales are different from grants, option exercises, gifts, or tax withholding, and the original SEC filing is still the controlling document.
Earnings and forecasts
Earnings pages and forecast pages are linked when a supported article exists. Treat those pages as context for reported numbers, guidance, margins, and scenario assumptions, then return to the table data when you need the underlying source date or filing trail.