NASDAQ · Technology
INTC stock analysis: filings, institutional holders, and operating trends
Intel designs CPUs, data-center chips, networking products, and operates manufacturing capacity through its foundry strategy. This page connects filing evidence with ownership, insider activity, forecasts, ETFs, and peer context so each dataset can be checked against the others.
Deterministic, source-linked commentary
The current research read on INTC
For INTC, the filing evidence matters before the market narrative. 10-Q covers CY2026Q1. quarterly revenue was $13.6B; year-over-year growth was 7.2%; operating margin was -23.1%; trailing free cash flow was -$18.5B. Read together, these figures test whether scale is translating into profit and cash. Verify periods and company footnotes in the original SEC EDGAR filing.
INTC's published outlook is useful only while its inputs hold. The forecast scenarios were updated 2026-06-26. Revenue growth, margins, cash generation, and risk assumptions must be checked against each new filing. Compare them with the latest earnings analysis.
The useful next step is to test INTC from another angle. Use institutional ownership, insider filings, earnings analysis, forecast scenarios alongside the filing. Company facts can update before 13F positions, so align every source date and report period before treating a difference as a change in fundamentals.
Business model
Company snapshot
Intel designs CPUs, data-center chips, networking products, and operates manufacturing capacity through its foundry strategy. The latest standardized snapshot records $52.76B of trailing revenue, -$3.4B of net income, and -$18.47B of free cash flow. These figures describe the reported company, while valuation and price require a separate market-data timestamp.
Operating lines
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
Geographic revenue mix
The current standardized filing dataset does not extract a comparable geographic revenue table for every issuer. Review the latest 10-K segment note for domestic and international mix, concentration, foreign-exchange sensitivity, and country-specific regulation.
10-Q · 2026-04-24
What the latest filing shows
Revenue for the latest standardized quarter was $13.58B, while diluted EPS was -0.73. Revenue changed 7.2% from the comparable period. Gross margin was 39.4% and operating margin was -23.1%. Margin direction matters because it shows whether growth is translating into operating leverage or requiring more cost to support.
Open original SEC filingEarnings & filings
INTC earnings calls, releases, and filing evidence
Earnings calls
No authorized call transcript summary is available yet for this ticker.
Filings & announcements
Q1 2026 · Earnings Release Summary
Revenue: $13.6B, +7% Y/Y; Gross margin: 39.4% GAAP; 41.0% non-GAAP; EPS: $(0.73) GAAP; $0.29 non-GAAP
Source: Intel Q1 2026 results · 2026-04-23Q4 2025 · Earnings Release Summary
Fourth-quarter revenue was $13.7B, down 4% year over year; full-year revenue was $52.9B.; Q4 GAAP EPS was $(0.12) and non-GAAP EPS was $0.15.; Full-year GAAP EPS was $(0.06) and non-GAAP EPS was $0.42.
Source: Intel Q4 and FY2025 results · 2026-01-22Q3 2025 · Earnings Release Summary
Third-quarter revenue was $13.7B, up 3% year over year.; GAAP EPS was $0.90 and non-GAAP EPS was $0.23.; CCG revenue was $8.5B and DCAI revenue was $4.1B.
Source: Intel Q3 2025 results · 2025-10-23Q2 2025 · Earnings Release Summary
Second-quarter revenue was $12.9B, flat year over year.; GAAP EPS was $(0.67) and non-GAAP EPS was $(0.10).; GAAP gross margin was 27.5% and non-GAAP gross margin was 29.7%.
Source: Intel Q2 2025 results · 2025-07-24Q1 2025 · Earnings Release Summary
First-quarter revenue was $12.7B, flat year over year.; GAAP EPS was $(0.19) and non-GAAP EPS was $0.13.; Intel reduced its 2025 non-GAAP operating expense target to about $17B and targeted $16B in 2026.
Source: Intel Q1 2025 results · 2025-04-24Earnings history
| Date | Period | Status | Revenue | EPS | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Q1 2026 | Reported | $13.6B | $0.73, | Intel Q1 2026 results |
| 2026-01-22 | Q4 2025 | Reported | $13.7B | $0.15. | Intel Q4 and FY2025 results |
| 2025-10-23 | Q3 2025 | Reported | $13.7B | $0.90 | Intel Q3 2025 results |
| 2025-07-24 | Q2 2025 | Reported | $12.9B | . | Intel Q2 2025 results |
| 2025-04-24 | Q1 2025 | Reported | $12.7B | $0.13. | Intel Q1 2025 results |
| 2025-01-30 | Q4 2024 | Reported | N/A | N/A | Intel Q4 and FY2024 results |
CY2026Q1
Earnings analysis
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS | Operating margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CY2026Q1 | $13.58B | -$3.73B | -0.73 | -23.1% |
| TTM | $52.76B | -$3.4B | -0.69 | -11.2% |
| CY2025 | $52.85B | -$267M | See filing | -4.2% |
Intel's Q1 2026 report should be read as a stock-outlook reset, not just a beat-or-miss event. The key facts are $13.6B revenue, up 7% year over year, Data Center and AI revenue was $5.1B, up 22%, while Client Computing revenue was $7.7B, up 1%, GAAP diluted EPS was a loss of $0.73, non-GAAP EPS was $0.29, GAAP gross margin was 39.4%, and non-GAAP gross margin was 41.0%, and Q2 guidance calls for revenue of $13.8B-$14.8B, GAAP EPS of $0.08, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.20. Bottom line: the report improves the setup only if those numbers support whether Intel can convert a better revenue quarter into durable margin recovery, foundry execution, and AI-era data-center relevance.
Read detailed earnings analysisScenario analysis
Forecast range
After Intel's latest earnings report, a practical 2026 scenario map for INTC is $99.7-120 in a bear case, $122-153 in a base case, and $157-193 in a bull case. The forecast is anchored to a post-earnings price of $132.87, market value near $675.4B, and the latest reported guidance.
Forecast assumptions
- Revenue growth must be checked against the latest filing and management guidance.
- Current reported operating margin is -11.2%.
- TTM free-cash-flow margin is -35%.
- Discount rates and valuation multiples should move when risk-free rates, business risk, or estimate confidence changes.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation. Forecasts are conditional ranges whose assumptions can fail.
Open forecast methodology and scenariosTechnology
Peer comparison
| Company | TTM revenue | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Tracked holders |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTCIntel | $52.76B | 7.2% | -11.2% | 0 |
| MUMicron Technology | $54.86B | 196.3% | 47.8% | 0 |
| CSCOCisco | $60.22B | 12% | 23.8% | 0 |
| ORCLOracle Corporation | $62.3B | 21.7% | 30.2% | 0 |
| AVGOBroadcom | $65.18B | 29.5% | 40.7% | 0 |
| CRMSalesforce | $41.46B | 13.3% | 21.2% | 0 |
| AMDAdvanced Micro Devices | $34.62B | 37.8% | 9.9% | 4 |
INTC's 7.2% revenue growth and -11.2% operating margin should be read against peers using the same reporting definitions. A higher margin may reflect pricing power or business mix, while a lower margin can reflect investment, cyclicality, or weaker economics.
Fund ownership
ETF exposure
INTC appears among the disclosed top holdings of 9 tracked ETFs shown below. ETF weights change with price movement, rebalancing, creations, redemptions, and issuer methodology.
| ETF | INTC weight | AUM | Holdings date |
|---|---|---|---|
| VTVVanguard Value ETF | 1.46% | $174.54B | Apr 30, 2026 |
| VGTVanguard Information Technology ETF | 1.96% | $136.23B | Apr 30, 2026 |
| XLKState Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 3.45% | $113.90B | May 18, 2026 |
| RSPInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF | 0.44% | $86.11B | May 18, 2026 |
| SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 7.46% | $62.25B | May 19, 2026 |
| SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF | 6.87% | $32.44B | May 19, 2026 |
| MTUMiShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF | 4.36% | $25.26B | May 19, 2026 |
| IWDiShares Russell 1000 Value ETF | 1.49% | $73.55B | May 19, 2026 |
| FTECFidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 2.07% | $19.52B | May 19, 2026 |
10-K · 2026-01-23
Key risk factors disclosed in the latest 10-K
The categories below are a deterministic research checklist anchored to Intel's industry and latest annual filing. They summarize areas investors should locate in Item 1A; they do not replace the company's exact legal disclosure.
- Demand and product-cycle risk: Semiconductors can experience changing customer demand, replacement cycles, and competitive product launches that affect revenue timing.
- Competition and execution: Market share depends on product quality, pricing, distribution, innovation, and management's ability to convert investment into durable customer demand.
- Supply chain and counterparties: Supplier concentration, logistics disruption, component availability, and customer concentration can affect delivery schedules, costs, and working capital.
- Regulation and litigation: Antitrust, privacy, securities, labor, tax, environmental, and industry-specific rules may change costs or restrict products and business practices.
- Financial and market risk: Foreign exchange, interest rates, credit conditions, investment values, and capital-allocation decisions can affect reported earnings and valuation.
Shareholder returns
Dividend and buyback history
Dividend
Intel reported $2.57B of dividends paid over the trailing period and $0 in the latest standardized quarter. These are company cash outflows, not a per-share forward yield.
Share buybacks
The standardized snapshot does not currently expose a reliable repurchase authorization and share-count bridge for every issuer. Compare diluted shares outstanding across filings and read the capital-return note before concluding that buybacks reduced the share base.
Research workflow
Common research questions about INTC
Who is the largest tracked institutional holder of INTC?
The current tracked-manager sample does not identify an active INTC holder. The INTC ownership page will reflect a matching position when one enters the filing dataset.
What does recent insider activity show for INTC?
No recent Form 4 transaction appears in the current INTC window. Check the INTC Form 4 history for later company-officer or director filings.
What business does Intel operate?
Intel designs CPUs, data-center chips, networking products, and operates manufacturing capacity through its foundry strategy. The INTC company snapshot connects that business description with reported revenue, profit, and cash flow.
How does INTC compare with a close operating peer?
INTC's revenue growth is 7.2% and its operating margin is -11.2%. Compare those figures with MU research using the same definitions.
What do the latest financials say about INTC?
10-Q reports $52.8B of trailing revenue, with revenue growth of 7.2% and an operating margin of -11.2%. The supporting period and source are listed in the INTC filing section.
How strong is INTC's cash return profile?
Intel reported $2.6B of trailing dividends paid alongside -$18.5B of free cash flow. The INTC capital-return section separates company cash outflows from a forward per-share yield.
Which assumptions matter most for the INTC outlook?
The INTC range depends on revenue growth, operating margin, cash conversion, and the risk assumptions in each new filing. Recheck them in the INTC forecast section.
Primary and reference data
Sources and methodology
- Filings: SEC EDGAR CompanyFacts, 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, Form 4, 13F-HR.
- Fundamentals: SEC EDGAR CompanyFacts; market references may use yfinance and Finnhub where explicitly available.
- ETF: Issuer disclosures and the locally dated ETF holdings snapshot.
Methodology: How SnowballHare parses and validates data.
Editorial standards: How research is published.
Disclaimer: Informational only; not investment, legal, or tax advice. Cross-check material facts against original filings before acting.
Reference notes
Data notes
Reporting dates
Use filing dates, report periods, and source links together for INTC. A company filing, a 13F disclosure, a Form 4 transaction, and an earnings release can describe different time windows, so the date beside each row matters before comparing signals.
Ownership context
13F rows are delayed public long-equity snapshots from a selected manager universe. They are useful for seeing which tracked institutions reported exposure, but they do not show every hedge, short position, cash balance, or trade made after the quarter ended.
Insider transactions
Form 4 activity should be read by transaction type, role, value, and remaining ownership. Open-market purchases and sales are different from grants, option exercises, gifts, or tax withholding, and the original SEC filing is still the controlling document.
Earnings and forecasts
Earnings pages and forecast pages are linked when a supported article exists. Treat those pages as context for reported numbers, guidance, margins, and scenario assumptions, then return to the table data when you need the underlying source date or filing trail.