NASDAQ · Communication Services
NFLX stock analysis: filings, institutional holders, and operating trends
Netflix provides subscription streaming entertainment and advertising-supported video services, with results driven by subscriber growth, pricing, engagement, and content efficiency. This page connects filing evidence with ownership, insider activity, forecasts, ETFs, and peer context so each dataset can be checked against the others.
Deterministic, source-linked commentary
What the latest evidence says about NFLX
For NFLX, the filing evidence matters before the market narrative. 10-Q covers CY2026Q1. quarterly revenue was $12.2B; year-over-year growth was 16.2%; operating margin was 32.3%; trailing free cash flow was $12.7B. Read together, these figures test whether scale is translating into profit and cash. Verify periods and company footnotes in the original SEC EDGAR filing.
NFLX's published outlook is useful only while its inputs hold. The forecast scenarios were updated 2026-05-21. Revenue growth, margins, cash generation, and risk assumptions must be checked against each new filing.
The useful next step is to test NFLX from another angle. Use institutional ownership, insider filings, forecast scenarios alongside the filing. Company facts can update before 13F positions, so align every source date and report period before treating a difference as a change in fundamentals.
Business model
Company snapshot
Netflix provides subscription streaming entertainment and advertising-supported video services, with results driven by subscriber growth, pricing, engagement, and content efficiency. The latest standardized snapshot records $45.38B of trailing revenue, $13.85B of net income, and $12.68B of free cash flow. These figures describe the reported company, while valuation and price require a separate market-data timestamp.
Operating lines
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
A named product, service, or operating exposure identified in the company description.
Geographic revenue mix
The current standardized filing dataset does not extract a comparable geographic revenue table for every issuer. Review the latest 10-K segment note for domestic and international mix, concentration, foreign-exchange sensitivity, and country-specific regulation.
10-Q · 2026-04-17
What the latest filing shows
Revenue for the latest standardized quarter was $12.25B, while diluted EPS was 1.23. Revenue changed 16.2% from the comparable period. Gross margin was 20.2% and operating margin was 32.3%. Margin direction matters because it shows whether growth is translating into operating leverage or requiring more cost to support.
Open original SEC filingCY2026Q1
Earnings analysis
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS | Operating margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CY2026Q1 | $12.25B | $5.28B | 1.23 | 32.3% |
| TTM | $45.38B | $13.85B | 14.95 | 31.6% |
| CY2025 | $45.18B | $10.98B | See filing | 29.5% |
The standardized data shows revenue growth of 16.2%, an operating margin of 31.6%, and a net margin of 30.5%. Without a dedicated earnings article, the original filing remains the primary source for management guidance and expectation comparisons.
Scenario analysis
Forecast range
NFLX is a NASDAQ-100 stock with a checked price of 88.09, market cap of 370.93B, and revenue of 46.89B. A practical 2026 scenario map is $66-79 in a bear case, $81-101 in a base case, and $104-128 in a bull case. The forecast depends on digital advertising, streaming, connectivity, and media cash flow.
Forecast assumptions
- Revenue growth must be checked against the latest filing and management guidance.
- Current reported operating margin is 31.6%.
- TTM free-cash-flow margin is 27.9%.
- Discount rates and valuation multiples should move when risk-free rates, business risk, or estimate confidence changes.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation. Forecasts are conditional ranges whose assumptions can fail.
Open forecast methodology and scenariosCommunication Services
Peer comparison
| Company | TTM revenue | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Tracked holders |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFLXNetflix | $45.38B | 16.2% | 31.6% | 0 |
| CHTRCharter Communications | $54.77B | -1% | 23.5% | 0 |
| WBDWarner Bros. Discovery | $36.73B | -1% | -5.7% | 0 |
| TMUST-Mobile US | $87.08B | 10.6% | 21.9% | 0 |
| LYVLive Nation Entertainment | $22.68B | 12.1% | 4.5% | 0 |
| DISWalt Disney Company (The) | $98.42B | 6.5% | 18.5% | 0 |
| OMCOmnicom Group | $17.99B | 69.2% | 11.5% | 0 |
NFLX's 16.2% revenue growth and 31.6% operating margin should be read against peers using the same reporting definitions. A higher margin may reflect pricing power or business mix, while a lower margin can reflect investment, cyclicality, or weaker economics.
10-K · 2026-01-23
Key risk factors disclosed in the latest 10-K
The categories below are a deterministic research checklist anchored to Netflix's industry and latest annual filing. They summarize areas investors should locate in Item 1A; they do not replace the company's exact legal disclosure.
- Demand and product-cycle risk: Streaming media can experience changing customer demand, replacement cycles, and competitive product launches that affect revenue timing.
- Competition and execution: Market share depends on product quality, pricing, distribution, innovation, and management's ability to convert investment into durable customer demand.
- Supply chain and counterparties: Supplier concentration, logistics disruption, component availability, and customer concentration can affect delivery schedules, costs, and working capital.
- Regulation and litigation: Antitrust, privacy, securities, labor, tax, environmental, and industry-specific rules may change costs or restrict products and business practices.
- Financial and market risk: Foreign exchange, interest rates, credit conditions, investment values, and capital-allocation decisions can affect reported earnings and valuation.
Research workflow
Common research questions about NFLX
Who is the largest tracked institutional holder of NFLX?
The current tracked-manager sample does not identify an active NFLX holder. The NFLX ownership page will reflect a matching position when one enters the filing dataset.
What does recent insider activity show for NFLX?
No recent Form 4 transaction appears in the current NFLX window. Check the NFLX Form 4 history for later company-officer or director filings.
What business does Netflix operate?
Netflix provides subscription streaming entertainment and advertising-supported video services, with results driven by subscriber growth, pricing, engagement, and content efficiency. The NFLX company snapshot connects that business description with reported revenue, profit, and cash flow.
How does NFLX compare with a close operating peer?
NFLX's revenue growth is 16.2% and its operating margin is 31.6%. Compare those figures with CHTR research using the same definitions.
What do the latest financials say about NFLX?
10-Q reports $45.4B of trailing revenue, with revenue growth of 16.2% and an operating margin of 31.6%. The supporting period and source are listed in the NFLX filing section.
How strong is NFLX's cash return profile?
Netflix does not show a positive trailing dividend cash outflow in the standardized snapshot, while free cash flow is $12.7B. Review the NFLX filing evidence before assessing capital-allocation capacity.
Which assumptions matter most for the NFLX outlook?
The NFLX range depends on revenue growth, operating margin, cash conversion, and the risk assumptions in each new filing. Recheck them in the NFLX forecast section.
Primary and reference data
Sources and methodology
- Filings: SEC EDGAR CompanyFacts, 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, Form 4, 13F-HR.
- Fundamentals: SEC EDGAR CompanyFacts; market references may use yfinance and Finnhub where explicitly available.
- ETF: Issuer disclosures and the locally dated ETF holdings snapshot.
Methodology: How SnowballHare parses and validates data.
Editorial standards: How research is published.
Disclaimer: Informational only; not investment, legal, or tax advice. Cross-check material facts against original filings before acting.
Reference notes
Data notes
Reporting dates
Use filing dates, report periods, and source links together for NFLX. A company filing, a 13F disclosure, a Form 4 transaction, and an earnings release can describe different time windows, so the date beside each row matters before comparing signals.
Ownership context
13F rows are delayed public long-equity snapshots from a selected manager universe. They are useful for seeing which tracked institutions reported exposure, but they do not show every hedge, short position, cash balance, or trade made after the quarter ended.
Insider transactions
Form 4 activity should be read by transaction type, role, value, and remaining ownership. Open-market purchases and sales are different from grants, option exercises, gifts, or tax withholding, and the original SEC filing is still the controlling document.
Earnings and forecasts
Earnings pages and forecast pages are linked when a supported article exists. Treat those pages as context for reported numbers, guidance, margins, and scenario assumptions, then return to the table data when you need the underlying source date or filing trail.